TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$1,181
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC Ligue 1 match scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets track whether Paris FC wins, Le Havre AC wins, or the match is tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory: all three possible halftime outcomes (Paris win, Le Havre win, draw) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market outcome predetermined and unresolvable. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive Yes/No outcomes, which are logically coherent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market in its current form due to the logical contradiction. The market cannot distinguish between outcomes. Use Polymarket's three binary markets (Paris leading, Draw, Le Havre leading) which provide clear, independent resolution paths based on actual halftime result.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure maps all three possible halftime outcomes to Yes. Kalshi states: 'If Paris is the winner... then Yes. If Le Havre is the winner... then Yes. If Tie... then Yes.' This guarantees a Yes resolution regardless of match result, making the market logically incoherent and unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. Each market independently resolves: Paris leading (Yes if Paris ahead, No otherwise), Draw (Yes if tied, No otherwise), Le Havre leading (Yes if Le Havre ahead, No otherwise). Logically sound and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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