TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC
Volume:
$700,902
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Paris FC and Le Havre AC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Paris win, Le Havre win, tie) are listed as resolving to YES, making it impossible to determine which single outcome actually occurred. Polymarket provides three separate, mutually exclusive markets with clear resolution logic for each outcome.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market as written—it contains a fatal logical error that makes settlement impossible. The platform likely intended to offer three separate binary markets (one per outcome) but instead created a single market where every possible result resolves YES. Polymarket's three distinct markets (Paris win, Le Havre win, draw) are resolvable and should be used as the authoritative reference for this match.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three resolution conditions, all resolving to YES regardless of outcome. The rules state 'If Paris wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Le Havre wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible match result produces the same resolution, rendering the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets—one for each outcome (Paris FC win, Le Havre AC win, draw)—each with mutually exclusive YES/NO resolution logic. For example, the Paris FC market resolves YES only if Paris wins and NO otherwise; the draw market resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw and NO otherwise. This structure is logically sound and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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