This event group covers a single professional Euroleague basketball game between Paris Basketball and Olympiacos B.C. scheduled for March 10, 2026 at 3:45 PM EDT. The markets track the binary outcome of which team wins the matchup.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Paris win and Olympiacos win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken and will create settlement disputes. Polymarket's binary structure is the only resolvable version. Report Kalshi's market to their settlement team for immediate correction.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Both outcomes resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Paris Basketball wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If BC Olympiakos Piraeus wins...resolves to Yes.' This violates binary market principles and makes settlement impossible.
Polymarket: Standard binary winner-takes-all logic. Quote: 'If Paris Basketball win, resolves to Paris Basketball. If Olympiacos B.C. win, resolves to Olympiacos B.C.' Includes postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split) edge cases.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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