TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milano
Volume:
$847,759
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Paris Basketball and Olimpia Milano will compete in a Euroleague basketball game scheduled for April 2, 2026 at 2:45 PM EDT. The market resolves based on which team wins the completed game, with special provisions for postponement or cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: it resolves YES if Olimpia Milano wins AND YES if Paris Basketball wins, making it impossible for the market to ever resolve NO. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where the market resolves to the actual winner (Paris Basketball or Olimpia Milano), with clear contingency rules for postponement and cancellation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market — it contains a fatal logical flaw that makes settlement impossible. The market cannot resolve NO under any circumstance, which violates basic prediction market mechanics. Trade only on Polymarket, which uses standard winner-determination logic with explicit contingency handling.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Olimpia Milano win OR Paris Basketball win), creating a logical contradiction that makes NO resolution impossible. Quote: 'If Olimpia Milano wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Paris Basketball wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This structure is unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Standard binary logic: Market resolves to the actual winner's name (Paris Basketball or Olimpia Milano), with explicit contingencies for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to Paris Basketball. If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to Olimpia Milano.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.