TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paris Basketball vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
Volume:
$151,791
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between Paris Basketball and Maccabi Tel Aviv scheduled for April 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM EDT. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are designed to resolve based on the final outcome of this single game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Paris win and Maccabi win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making it impossible for the market to ever resolve to No. This violates basic binary market structure and renders the market unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi. The market design is broken and cannot function as intended. Use Polymarket exclusively, which correctly implements a winner-declaration market with proper edge-case handling for postponements and cancellations.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Dual-outcome contradiction: Both Paris Basketball victory and Maccabi Tel Aviv victory resolve to Yes. No path to No resolution exists. Quote: 'If Paris Basketball wins...resolves to Yes. If Maccabi Tel-Aviv wins...resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-declaration: Paris Basketball win resolves to Paris Basketball, Maccabi Tel Aviv win resolves to Maccabi Tel Aviv. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Quote: 'If the Paris Basketball win, the market will resolve to Paris Basketball. If the Maccabi Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to Maccabi Tel Aviv.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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