TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Paraguay vs. Australia
Total volume:
$110
Volume 24h:
$0
0%
Liquidity:
$23,837
13%
Open interest:
$34
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Thursday, June 25, 2026 between Paraguay and Australia.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Date ambiguity (June 25 vs June 26, 2026) and inconsistent cancellation resolution logic across platforms. Polymarket and Predict resolve Draw to YES on cancellation, while Paraguay and Australia outcomes resolve to NO, creating a logical inconsistency. Kalshi and Limitless have different cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Before the match, confirm the official FIFA World Cup schedule date. For cancellation scenarios, require all three outcome markets (Paraguay, Australia, Draw) to resolve consistently—either all NO or all YES. Do not trade across platforms until cancellation logic is harmonized.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three outcomes (Paraguay win, Australia win, Tie) resolve YES if the match occurs as scheduled on June 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided.
- Limitless: Paraguay and Australia markets resolve NO if match is not completed with official result by July 26, 2026 02:00 UTC. Draw market resolves YES if match is incomplete or ends in a draw. Date listed as June 26, 2026.
- Polymarket: Paraguay and Australia resolve NO if canceled with no makeup game. Draw resolves YES if canceled with no makeup game. This creates a logical contradiction where cancellation produces split outcomes. Date is June 25, 2026.
- Predict: Paraguay and Australia resolve NO if canceled with no makeup game. Draw resolves YES if canceled with no makeup game. Identical contradiction to Polymarket. Date is June 25, 2026.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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