TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo - More Markets
Volume:
$970,359
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UEFA Europa League match between PAOK and RC Celta de Vigo scheduled for February 19, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi), spread betting (Polymarket), and multiple over/under total goals markets plus both teams to score (Polymarket).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three outcome markets contain a logical contradiction: all three are structured as independent Yes/No markets on mutually exclusive events (Celta win, Tie, PAOK win), making simultaneous resolution impossible. Polymarket markets are internally consistent but operate on a different event structure (binary spread/totals vs categorical outcome).Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's outcome markets until clarification is received on whether these are three separate binary markets or a single categorical market. Polymarket markets are resolvable and consistent; prioritize those for trading. All Polymarket markets share the same official source (UEFA.com) and time scope (90+stoppage time only).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as a group, each structured as independent Yes/No resolution on mutually exclusive soccer outcomes (Celta Vigo win, Tie, PAOK win). Logical flaw: exactly one outcome will occur, yet market structure implies all three could independently resolve Yes. Key Quote: 'If Celta Vigo wins...then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If PAOK wins...then the market resolves to Yes'.
- Polymarket: Five distinct binary markets: Spread (PAOK -1.5, resolves PAOK if win by 2+, else Celta), Over/Under 1.5 goals (2+ combined), Over/Under 2.5 goals (3+ combined), Over/Under 3.5 goals (4+ combined), Over/Under 4.5 goals (5+ combined), and Both Teams to Score (Yes if each scores 1+). All use UEFA.com as official source, 90+stoppage time scope, with explicit postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) rules. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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