TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Panthers vs. Oilers
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 19 at 9:00PM ET: If the Panthers win, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to "Oilers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve fundamentally different events. Kalshi resolves on moneyline (either team winning), while Polymarket resolves on total goals scored (over/under) and moneyline outcomes. Kalshi's market structure is logically broken: both resolution conditions (Oilers win OR Panthers win) resolve to YES, making the market always resolve YES regardless of outcome.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely — it is unresolvable as written because every possible game outcome (Oilers win or Panthers win) triggers a YES resolution. Polymarket offers clear, mutually exclusive outcomes: moneyline (Panthers vs. Oilers), spread (Oilers -1.5), and four distinct over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5 goals). Trade only on Polymarket for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market contains a critical logical flaw. Both resolution conditions state 'then the market resolves to Yes': 'If EDM Oilers wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If FLA Panthers wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means every possible outcome (either team winning) results in YES, making the market always resolve YES and rendering it unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate, mutually exclusive markets: (1) Moneyline (Panthers vs. Oilers winner), (2) Spread (Oilers -1.5), and (3-5) Over/Under on combined goals at thresholds 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5. Each market has clear binary outcomes with no logical contradiction. All markets reference the same game (March 19, 9:00 PM ET) and use consistent resolution rules including overtime, shootout (+1 goal adjustment), postponement (market remains open), and cancellation (50-50 split).
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