TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Panthers vs. Flames
Description
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 20 at 9:00PM ET: If the Panthers win, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi offers multiple over/under markets on total combined goals (2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5), while Polymarket provides a narrower set of over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) plus moneyline and spread markets. The platforms also differ in their treatment of shootout goals: Kalshi does not explicitly address shootout scoring, while Polymarket adds one goal to the winning team's score in shootout scenarios.Hero Tip:
If you trade totals markets, note that Kalshi offers more granular goal thresholds (down to 2.5) compared to Polymarket's minimum of 4.5. Additionally, if the game goes to a shootout, Polymarket's explicit +1 goal rule for the winner may shift outcomes at lower thresholds; verify your bet's platform before wagering on close totals.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers eight separate over/under markets spanning 2.5 to 9.5 total combined goals with no explicit shootout adjustment rule stated. Key quote: 'If over 2.5 total combined goals are scored in the Florida vs Calgary professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket provides four over/under thresholds (4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), a moneyline (Panthers vs. Flames winner), and two spread markets (-1.5 for each team), with explicit shootout handling: 'In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.' Polymarket also includes postponement and cancellation clauses absent from Kalshi's terms.
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