TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Panathinaikos vs. Fenerbahce
Volume:
$290,117
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Euroleague basketball game between Panathinaikos BC and Fenerbahce Istanbul scheduled for February 13, 2026 at 2:15 PM EST. Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the final outcome of this single game, with differing resolution mechanics for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Fenerbahce win and Panathinaikos win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides coherent binary resolution with explicit postponement and cancellation rules.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version of this market until the platform clarifies the intended resolution logic. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be treated as the reference. In case of game postponement, Polymarket remains open; in case of cancellation with no makeup, Polymarket splits 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market states both Fenerbahce win and Panathinaikos win resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No explicit handling of postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: If Fenerbahce wins resolves to Yes; If Panathinaikos wins resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Clear binary resolution: Panathinaikos win resolves to Panathinaikos, Fenerbahce win resolves to Fenerbahce. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: If postponed market remains open; if canceled entirely with no makeup resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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