A college basketball matchup between the Pacific Tigers and Gonzaga Bulldogs scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets cover the moneyline (game winner), point spreads at -20.5 and -21.5, and over/under totals at 143.5 and 144.5 points.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket align on the core resolution mechanism: final score determination including overtime, postponement handling (remain open), and cancellation protocol (50-50 split if no make-up game).
Primary resolution logic:
Official NCAA game records and final score as reported by ncaa.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline: Pacific Tigers win resolves to Pacific Tigers; Gonzaga Bulldogs win resolves to Gonzaga Bulldogs
Spread -20.5: Gonzaga resolves Yes if Gonzaga wins by 21+ points; otherwise Pacific resolves Yes
Spread -21.5: Gonzaga resolves Yes if Gonzaga wins by 22+ points; otherwise Pacific resolves Yes
Over/Under 144.5: Over if combined score is 145+; Under if combined score is 144 or less
Over/Under 143.5: Over if combined score is 144+; Under if combined score is 143 or less
Final score includes all overtime periods
Postponed games: markets remain open until game completion
Canceled games with no make-up: all markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on a future date. No automatic resolution occurs.
Cancellation without Make-up: If the game is canceled entirely with no scheduled make-up game, all markets (moneyline, spreads, totals) resolve 50-50, returning equal value to both sides.
Overtime: All final scores include any overtime periods played. The spread and total thresholds apply to the complete final score including OT.
Spread Threshold Precision: Spread -20.5 requires 21+ point margin for Gonzaga; spread -21.5 requires 22+ point margin. These are distinct markets with different resolution thresholds.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the final score is confirmed and officially recorded by NCAA, typically within hours of game completion on February 21, 2026 or the rescheduled date if postponed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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