TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers
Volume:
$2,088,434
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Indiana Pacers and Portland Trail Blazers scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spread, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi uses point-differential thresholds (>X points) with binary Yes/No outcomes for both Portland and Indiana wins at multiple thresholds. Polymarket uses traditional spread notation (e.g., -8.5) where resolution requires a win by N+1 points, plus separate moneyline and totals markets. The underlying logic is consistent (final margin determines outcome), but the threshold presentation and market structure differ.Hero Tip:
When resolving, calculate the final point differential (winner's score minus loser's score). For Kalshi, match this differential to the applicable threshold (e.g., if Portland wins by 10 points, it satisfies >3.5, >6.5, >9.5 but not >12.5). For Polymarket spreads, convert the spread to a win-by requirement (spread -8.5 = Trail Blazers must win by 9+). Use official NBA.com final box score including all overtime periods. Both platforms resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup; both remain open if postponed.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: 10 markets using point-differential thresholds. Portland wins by >3.5, >6.5, >9.5, >12.5, >15.5, >18.5, >21.5, >24.5 points resolve Yes. Indiana wins by >3.5 or >6.5 also resolve Yes. Binary Yes/No structure. Quote: 'If Portland wins the Indiana at Portland professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026 by more than 3.5 points, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Multiple market types: Moneyline (resolves to team name), Spreads (Trail Blazers -7.5, -8.5, -9.5 with win-by thresholds 8, 9, 10 points respectively), Totals (O/U 235.5, 236.5, 237.5, 238.5 with combined score thresholds 236, 237, 238, 239), Player Props (points, rebounds, assists), and First-Half markets. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Trail Blazers if the Trail Blazers win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Pacers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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