This event group covers the NBA game between the Indiana Pacers and Milwaukee Bucks scheduled for March 15, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET at Milwaukee. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, first-half props, and individual player performance metrics (points, rebounds, assists) across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms (Kalshi and Polymarket) apply identical resolution logic: official NBA box score determines all outcomes, with consistent handling of postponements (markets remain open), cancellations (50-50 resolution), and player inactivity (No resolution for player props).
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score published on NBA.com
Core resolution logic:
Moneyline markets resolve to the team with the higher final score (including overtime)
Spread markets resolve based on the final point differential; Bucks must win by the specified margin or more to resolve Yes
Total markets resolve Over if combined score meets or exceeds the threshold plus one point, Under otherwise
First-half markets resolve based on halftime score only, not final game score
Player prop markets (points, rebounds, assists) resolve Yes if the player exceeds the stated threshold, No if at or below threshold
Player props resolve No if the player is listed as inactive or does not take the court
Ties in spread markets resolve to the non-Bucks outcome (Pacers)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed. No early resolution occurs.
Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50.
Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court at any point, all player prop markets for that player resolve No.
Overtime: All overtime periods are included in the final score for moneyline, spread, and total markets. First-half markets are unaffected by overtime.
Spread Tie Scenario: If the final score results in a tie (extremely rare in NBA), spread markets resolve to Pacers (the non-favored team).
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following game completion. For first-half markets, resolution occurs at halftime. Player inactivity determinations are made at game start based on official NBA roster status.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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