TOTAL VOLUME:

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24H VOL:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC
kalshi
polymarket

Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC

Volume:
$619,561

Sunderland

 - Kalshi

Sunderland - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Closed: Feb 15, 12:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sunderland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$23,173
$108,302
N/A
N/A
$83,494
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oxford United

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$7,509
$23,611
N/A
N/A
$18,972
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$116
$21,398
N/A
N/A
$17,497
Settled
No
polymarket

Sunderland AFC

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$426,863
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Oxford United FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,206
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,181
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional FA Cup soccer match between Oxford United FC and Sunderland AFC scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets track the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The group includes binary win/loss markets for each team and a draw outcome market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market has an asymmetric cancellation clause (resolves YES on full cancellation) that does not apply to its win/loss markets or to Kalshi's markets. This creates a logical inconsistency in how cancellation is handled across the event group.Hero tip: Monitor for cancellation announcements. If the match is fully canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market will pay out YES while its Oxford and Sunderland win markets pay out NO. Kalshi's resolution in a cancellation scenario is undefined. Request explicit clarification from both platforms before settlement if cancellation occurs.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Oxford win (YES if Oxford wins in 90+stoppage), Sunderland win (YES if Sunderland wins in 90+stoppage), and Draw (YES if match ends in a draw in 90+stoppage). Postponement keeps markets open; full cancellation with no make-up resolves Oxford and Sunderland markets to NO, but resolves Draw market to YES. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as a single logical group: Sunderland win resolves YES, Oxford win resolves YES, Tie resolves YES—each conditional on their respective outcome occurring after 90+stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins the Oxford United vs Sunderland professional FA Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.