TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oxford United FC vs. Sunderland AFC
Volume:
$619,561
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional FA Cup soccer match between Oxford United FC and Sunderland AFC scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets track the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The group includes binary win/loss markets for each team and a draw outcome market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market has an asymmetric cancellation clause (resolves YES on full cancellation) that does not apply to its win/loss markets or to Kalshi's markets. This creates a logical inconsistency in how cancellation is handled across the event group.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation announcements. If the match is fully canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market will pay out YES while its Oxford and Sunderland win markets pay out NO. Kalshi's resolution in a cancellation scenario is undefined. Request explicit clarification from both platforms before settlement if cancellation occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Oxford win (YES if Oxford wins in 90+stoppage), Sunderland win (YES if Sunderland wins in 90+stoppage), and Draw (YES if match ends in a draw in 90+stoppage). Postponement keeps markets open; full cancellation with no make-up resolves Oxford and Sunderland markets to NO, but resolves Draw market to YES. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw market only).
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets presented as a single logical group: Sunderland win resolves YES, Oxford win resolves YES, Tie resolves YES—each conditional on their respective outcome occurring after 90+stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Key quote: 'If Tie wins the Oxford United vs Sunderland professional FA Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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