TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oxford United FC vs. Hull City AFC
Volume:
$329,216
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
Oxford United FC and Hull City AFC will compete in an EFL Championship match on April 3, 2026. This event group captures three mutually exclusive outcomes: an Oxford United victory, a Hull City AFC victory, or a draw. All markets measure the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Oxford win, Hull win, Tie) are marked as resolving to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish between them or produce a single definitive resolution. Polymarket uses standard binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes and clear resolution rules, creating a fundamental incompatibility in how the same match result would settle across platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms assuming equivalent exposure. Kalshi's market appears to have a critical design flaw where every possible match outcome triggers a Yes resolution — this is unresolvable as written. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Oxford win, Hull win, Draw) are standard and resolvable. Treat Kalshi as non-functional until clarified by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's three markets all resolve to Yes regardless of outcome — 'If Oxford United wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Hull wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates logical contradiction where no single outcome can be identified, making the market unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive outcomes — Draw resolves Yes only if match ends in a draw, Oxford resolves Yes only if Oxford wins, Hull resolves Yes only if Hull wins. All other outcomes resolve No. Includes explicit cancellation clause: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (for Draw market only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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