This event group covers an MLS match between Orlando City SC and CF Montréal scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets span multiple outcome types: total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), spread betting (goal-margin thresholds), both-teams-to-score, and win-margin outcomes. Resolution is based on the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the same resolution source (mlssoccer.com official final score), time window (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time), and edge-case handling (postponement, cancellation, abandonment).
Primary resolution logic:
Official MLS final score published on mlssoccer.com
Core resolution logic:
Over/Under markets resolve based on combined goals scored by both teams: 1.5 threshold = 2+ goals Over, 2.5 threshold = 3+ goals Over, 3.5 threshold = 4+ goals Over, 4.5 threshold = 5+ goals Over
Spread markets resolve based on goal differential: Orlando -1.5 = Orlando wins by 2+, Orlando -2.5 = Orlando wins by 3+, Montreal -1.5 = Montreal wins by 2+, Montreal -2.5 = Montreal wins by 3+
Both-Teams-to-Score resolves Yes if each team scores at least one goal; No if either team scores zero
Resolution window is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
Official source is mlssoccer.com final score
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed. No early settlement occurs.
Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no scheduled makeup game.
Game Started But Not Completed: Markets resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com at the time of abandonment.
Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all markets.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) and the official final score is published on mlssoccer.com. If postponed, resolution is delayed until the rescheduled match is completed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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