TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oregon State Beavers vs. Santa Clara Broncos
Volume:
$661,402
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Oregon State Beavers and Santa Clara Broncos scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Santa Clara win OR Oregon State win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all derivative markets (spread, totals) use correct binary logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline for this matchup. The market structure guarantees Yes resolution regardless of game outcome, eliminating price discovery. Trade Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals instead, which maintain consistent and resolvable logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: 'If Santa Clara wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oregon St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome maps to Yes, violating binary market structure.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Oregon State Beavers' if Oregon State wins, or 'Santa Clara Broncos' if Santa Clara wins. Spread markets (-17.5, -16.5) and totals (O/U 152.5, 153.5) all use mutually exclusive binary outcomes with clear thresholds and consistent cancellation logic (50-50 split if no make-up game).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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