TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,176,691

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,391,958,194

394,660

Markets across

30,119

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Oregon State Beavers vs. Santa Clara Broncos
kalshi
polymarket

Oregon State Beavers vs. Santa Clara Broncos

Volume:
$661,402

Santa Clara

 - Kalshi

Santa Clara - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 2, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Santa Clara

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$150,717
N/A
N/A
$116,387
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 153.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$285
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 152.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon St.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$489,803
N/A
N/A
$387,309
Settled
No
polymarket

Oregon State Beavers vs. Santa Clara Broncos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

A men's college basketball game between Oregon State Beavers and Santa Clara Broncos scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Santa Clara win OR Oregon State win) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all derivative markets (spread, totals) use correct binary logic.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi moneyline for this matchup. The market structure guarantees Yes resolution regardless of game outcome, eliminating price discovery. Trade Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals instead, which maintain consistent and resolvable logic.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline markets state: 'If Santa Clara wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oregon St. wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible outcome maps to Yes, violating binary market structure.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Oregon State Beavers' if Oregon State wins, or 'Santa Clara Broncos' if Santa Clara wins. Spread markets (-17.5, -16.5) and totals (O/U 152.5, 153.5) all use mutually exclusive binary outcomes with clear thresholds and consistent cancellation logic (50-50 split if no make-up game).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.