TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies (W)
Volume:
$2,051,944
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies women's college basketball game scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Both Kalshi and Polymarket are offering markets on the winner of this matchup, with different resolution mechanics and payout structures.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Washington win and Oregon win) are mapped to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary Yes/No contract. Polymarket uses a categorical outcome model (Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies) which is logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the resolution logic is clarified with the platform. The current rules are contradictory and suggest a transcription error or incomplete market specification. Polymarket's market is clear and tradeable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market with contradictory logic. Both outcomes map to Yes: 'If Washington wins...then Yes' and 'If Oregon wins...then Yes'. This violates binary market semantics and makes resolution impossible.
- Polymarket: Categorical outcome market with two mutually exclusive resolutions: 'Oregon Ducks' or 'Washington Huskies'. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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