TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans
Volume:
$1,563,836
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Oregon Ducks vs. USC Trojans men's college basketball game scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (-5.5 USC), and over/under totals (147.5 and 149.5), with resolution based on final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Oregon win and USC win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline and all spread/total markets across both platforms use standard, consistent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Treat the Kalshi moneyline as unresolvable and do not trade it. Focus on Polymarket moneyline and the spread/total markets on both platforms, which all use clear, mutually consistent resolution criteria. Confirm Kalshi's intent with support before the event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: If Oregon wins, resolves Yes. If USC wins, resolves Yes. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. Quote: 'If Oregon wins the Oregon at USC men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC wins the Oregon at USC men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market uses standard binary logic: Oregon win resolves to Oregon Ducks, USC win resolves to USC Trojans. Spread and total markets also use clear threshold-based logic. Quote: 'If the Oregon Ducks win, the market will resolve to Oregon Ducks. If the USC Trojans win, the market will resolve to USC Trojans.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.