TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Longhorns (W)
Volume:
$1,584,721
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks the outcome of the Oregon Ducks vs. Texas Longhorns women's college basketball game scheduled for March 22, 2026, played at Texas. The market resolves based on which team wins the matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Oregon win OR Texas win), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome where exactly one team resolves as the winner.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's market entirely — it contains a critical logical flaw where both Oregon and Texas winning trigger YES resolution, making it impossible to lose. This is a data integrity failure. Polymarket's market is the only valid one in this group.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's resolution rules state 'If Texas wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oregon wins... then the market resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves YES regardless of which team wins. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design. Key quote: 'If Texas wins the Oregon at Texas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon wins the Oregon at Texas women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market logic: Polymarket correctly structures this as a binary outcome market where 'If the Oregon Ducks win, the market will resolve to Oregon Ducks' and 'If the Texas Longhorns win, the market will resolve to Texas Longhorns', ensuring exactly one outcome per game result. Key quote: 'If the Oregon Ducks win, the market will resolve to Oregon Ducks. If the Texas Longhorns win, the market will resolve to Texas Longhorns.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.