TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oregon Ducks vs. Purdue Boilermakers (W)
Volume:
$3,158
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Oregon Ducks and Purdue Boilermakers scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is logically contradictory and unresolvable. Both possible game outcomes (Oregon win and Purdue win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish a winner. Polymarket's binary logic is sound and unambiguous.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi until the platform clarifies which outcome corresponds to Yes vs No. The current wording creates a market that cannot be settled fairly. Polymarket is the reliable reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clear binary outcome structure. Oregon win resolves to Oregon Ducks; Purdue win resolves to Purdue Boilermakers. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation without makeup (50-50 split). Resolution based on final score including overtime. Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
- Kalshi: Defective resolution mapping. Both Oregon win and Purdue win are stated to resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. No handling of postponement or cancellation scenarios is specified. Market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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