TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$87,997,338

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,395,155,069

395,664

Markets across

30,076

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,626

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats
kalshi
polymarket

Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats

Volume:
$1,540,764

Northwestern

 - Kalshi

Northwestern - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 18, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Northwestern

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$700,153
N/A
N/A
$311,607
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Oregon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$773,766
N/A
N/A
$443,428
Settled
No
polymarket

Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 143.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 141.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$531
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Oregon Ducks and Northwestern Wildcats scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Northwestern. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at two different thresholds (-2.5 and -3.5), and over/under totals at two different lines (141.5 and 143.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Oregon and Northwestern wins are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents settlement.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Use Polymarket's moneyline (Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats) as the authoritative source for game outcome. Polymarket's spread and total markets are internally consistent and can be traded with confidence.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline market has contradictory logic: 'If Northwestern wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oregon wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value, making settlement impossible.
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Oregon Ducks or Northwestern Wildcats); spreads resolve to team name if threshold met, otherwise opposite team; totals resolve to Over/Under based on combined score. All markets include consistent postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.