TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats
Volume:
$1,540,764
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Oregon Ducks and Northwestern Wildcats scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Northwestern. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at two different thresholds (-2.5 and -3.5), and over/under totals at two different lines (141.5 and 143.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Oregon and Northwestern wins are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. This is a data integrity failure that prevents settlement.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. Use Polymarket's moneyline (Oregon Ducks vs. Northwestern Wildcats) as the authoritative source for game outcome. Polymarket's spread and total markets are internally consistent and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market has contradictory logic: 'If Northwestern wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oregon wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes cannot resolve to the same value, making settlement impossible.
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Oregon Ducks or Northwestern Wildcats); spreads resolve to team name if threshold met, otherwise opposite team; totals resolve to Over/Under based on combined score. All markets include consistent postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50) logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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