TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oregon Ducks vs. Indiana Hoosiers (W)
Volume:
$208,185
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between the Oregon Ducks and Indiana Hoosiers scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the binary outcome of which team wins the game.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Indiana win and Oregon win) are stated to resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies the intended resolution logic. The current wording suggests a potential drafting error. Polymarket offers clear binary resolution and is the safer venue for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Clean binary winner-take-all structure. Oregon win resolves to Oregon Ducks, Indiana win resolves to Indiana Hoosiers. Includes explicit edge case handling: postponement keeps market open, cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contains logical impossibility. Both stated outcomes (Indiana wins and Oregon wins) resolve to Yes with no corresponding No condition. This creates an unresolvable market structure that violates basic binary logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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