TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Omaha Mavericks vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (W)
Volume:
$15,426
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between the Omaha Mavericks and St. Thomas (MN) Tommies scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket are pricing the outcome of this single game, with divergent resolution mechanics and payout structures.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (St. Thomas win or Omaha win) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary. Polymarket uses correct categorical resolution. Additionally, cancellation handling is absent from Kalshi but explicitly defined in Polymarket.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable due to broken logic. Trade only Polymarket. Monitor for cancellation risk; Polymarket guarantees 50-50 split if game is canceled with no makeup, but Kalshi provides no such protection.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Binary resolution with logical contradiction. Both St. Thomas win and Omaha win resolve to Yes. No cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: If St. Thomas wins then Yes; If Omaha wins then Yes.
- Polymarket: Categorical resolution naming winner (Omaha Mavericks or St. Thomas Tommies). Explicit cancellation protocol: 50-50 split if game canceled with no makeup. Postponement keeps market open. Key Quote: Resolves to winner name or 50-50 if canceled entirely with no make-up game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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