This event group covers a men's college basketball game between the Omaha Mavericks and St. Thomas (MN) Tommies scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under totals across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both Omaha win and St. Thomas win are specified to resolve to Yes, with no defined No resolution path. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. All other markets (Polymarket moneyline, spreads, totals) are logically consistent.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until Kalshi clarifies the resolution logic. All Polymarket markets and the spread/total markets on both platforms are resolvable and consistent. Verify game status at settlement time: if the game is postponed, markets remain open; if canceled with no makeup, spread and total markets resolve 50-50.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market specifies: 'If Omaha wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If St. Thomas wins... resolves to Yes'. No other outcome is defined. This creates a logical impossibility—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes in a binary market.
Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to 'Omaha Mavericks' if Omaha wins, or 'St. Thomas (MN) Tommies' if St. Thomas wins. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (St. Thomas -12.5 requires 13+ point win; -11.5 requires 12+ point win). Totals resolve based on combined score thresholds (157.5 → 158+, 158.5 → 159+, 160.5 → 161+). All include postponement and cancellation protocols.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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