TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC
Volume:
$812,915
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Olympique Lyonnais and AS Monaco FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Monaco win, Lyon win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish between them or settle on a single outcome. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Draw, Lyon Win, Monaco Win) with coherent binary resolution logic aligned to standard soccer match outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market as written—it contains a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible. Polymarket's three separate markets are resolvable and follow standard sports betting conventions. If you have exposure on Kalshi, seek clarification from the platform before the match occurs.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate markets but resolves all three to Yes regardless of outcome ('If Monaco wins...then Yes', 'If Lyon wins...then Yes', 'If Tie...then Yes'), creating a logical impossibility where every possible result triggers Yes on all markets simultaneously. This violates basic binary market semantics.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets—Draw (Yes/No), Lyon Win (Yes/No), Monaco Win (Yes/No)—each resolving to exactly one outcome based on the 90-minute result. Only one market resolves Yes; the other two resolve No. Resolution source is official Ligue 1 statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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