TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC
kalshi
polymarket

Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC

Volume:
$812,915

AS Monaco FC

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

AS Monaco FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$323,234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Monaco

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$142,246
N/A
N/A
$77,534
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olympique Lyonnais

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$141,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,137
N/A
N/A
$50,488
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Olympique Lyonnais vs. AS Monaco FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,085
N/A
N/A
$36,259
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 between Olympique Lyonnais and AS Monaco FC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Monaco win, Lyon win, Tie) resolve to Yes, making it impossible to distinguish between them or settle on a single outcome. Polymarket offers three separate, mutually exclusive markets (Draw, Lyon Win, Monaco Win) with coherent binary resolution logic aligned to standard soccer match outcomes.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's market as written—it contains a logical contradiction that makes settlement impossible. Polymarket's three separate markets are resolvable and follow standard sports betting conventions. If you have exposure on Kalshi, seek clarification from the platform before the match occurs.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi defines three separate markets but resolves all three to Yes regardless of outcome ('If Monaco wins...then Yes', 'If Lyon wins...then Yes', 'If Tie...then Yes'), creating a logical impossibility where every possible result triggers Yes on all markets simultaneously. This violates basic binary market semantics.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets—Draw (Yes/No), Lyon Win (Yes/No), Monaco Win (Yes/No)—each resolving to exactly one outcome based on the 90-minute result. Only one market resolves Yes; the other two resolve No. Resolution source is official Ligue 1 statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.