TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$1,695
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of the Ligue 1 match between Olympique de Marseille and Lille OSC scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets track whether Lille leads, Marseille leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory: it specifies that all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes (Lille win, tie, Marseille win) resolve to Yes, making it impossible to determine a single settlement value. Polymarket correctly uses three separate binary markets to partition the outcome space.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market due to the logical contradiction. Use Polymarket's three separate markets instead. For settlement, obtain the official halftime scoreline from Ligue 1 or credible sports reporting within 24 hours of match completion.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic. All three possible halftime outcomes (Lille winner, tie, Marseille winner) are specified to resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable market. Quote: 'If Lille is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Marseille is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets correctly partition the outcome space: Lille leading at halftime (Yes/No), draw at halftime (Yes/No), and Marseille leading at halftime (Yes/No). Each resolves based on the actual halftime result. Quote: 'If Lille OSC wins within the first 45 minutes... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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