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Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC - Halftime Result
kalshi
polymarket

Olympique de Marseille vs. Lille OSC - Halftime Result

Volume:
$1,695

Marseille

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 22, 2026

Closed: Mar 22, 3:15 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Marseille

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$501
N/A
N/A
$494
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olympique de Marseille

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$377
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Lille

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
$350
Settled
No
polymarket

Lille OSC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$110
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the halftime result of the Ligue 1 match between Olympique de Marseille and Lille OSC scheduled for March 22, 2026. Markets track whether Lille leads, Marseille leads, or the teams are tied after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory: it specifies that all three mutually exclusive halftime outcomes (Lille win, tie, Marseille win) resolve to Yes, making it impossible to determine a single settlement value. Polymarket correctly uses three separate binary markets to partition the outcome space.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's market due to the logical contradiction. Use Polymarket's three separate markets instead. For settlement, obtain the official halftime scoreline from Ligue 1 or credible sports reporting within 24 hours of match completion.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Single market with contradictory resolution logic. All three possible halftime outcomes (Lille winner, tie, Marseille winner) are specified to resolve to Yes, creating an unresolvable market. Quote: 'If Lille is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes. If Marseille is the winner... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets correctly partition the outcome space: Lille leading at halftime (Yes/No), draw at halftime (Yes/No), and Marseille leading at halftime (Yes/No). Each resolves based on the actual halftime result. Quote: 'If Lille OSC wins within the first 45 minutes... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.