TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Volume:
$1,500,918
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Champions League match between Olympiakós SFP and Bayer 04 Leverkusen scheduled for February 18, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/loss/draw) and total goals scored, with resolution tied to 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket match outcome markets and Kalshi total goals markets use different cancellation resolution logic. Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to YES if canceled (with no make-up), while win markets resolve NO. Kalshi total goals markets do not specify cancellation behavior, creating ambiguity.Hero Tip:
Cancellation risk is asymmetric across platforms. On Polymarket, a canceled match guarantees a YES resolution on the draw market but NO on both win markets. Kalshi's total goals markets lack explicit cancellation clauses, leaving settlement undefined. Before trading, confirm with each platform whether cancellation voids markets or triggers their stated logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Match outcome markets (Olympiakós win, Leverkusen win, draw) resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves draw to YES and both win markets to NO. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'resolve to No' (wins).
- Kalshi: Total goals markets (over 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve YES if collective goals exceed threshold after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Markets assume game completion; postponement and cancellation handling are not defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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