This event group covers the outcome of a single Euroleague basketball game between Olimpia Milano and Maccabi Tel Aviv scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 3:30 PM EDT. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win this professional basketball matchup.
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Olimpia Milano win or Maccabi Tel Aviv win) resolve to the same state (Yes), making the market incapable of distinguishing between outcomes. Polymarket correctly implements winner-takes-all resolution.
Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market definition is fundamentally broken and unresolvable as written. Use Polymarket as the authoritative source. The Kalshi market should be flagged for correction or cancellation before trading begins.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Dual-outcome Yes resolution - Both 'Olimpia Milano wins' and 'Maccabi Tel-Aviv wins' resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. Quote: 'If Olimpia Milano wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Maccabi Tel-Aviv wins...resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Winner-takes-all resolution - Olimpia Milano victory resolves to 'Olimpia Milano', Maccabi Tel Aviv victory resolves to 'Maccabi Tel Aviv'. Includes postponement and cancellation edge cases. Quote: 'If the Olimpia Milano win, the market will resolve to Olimpia Milano. If the Maccabi Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to Maccabi Tel Aviv.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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