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Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
kalshi
polymarket

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

Volume:
$393,003

Vanderbilt wins by over 1.5 Points

 - Kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 1.5 Points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 4, 12:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 1.5 Points

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$65,119
N/A
N/A
$43,319
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 155.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 154.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$973
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 153.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,422
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 6.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,732
N/A
N/A
$59,512
Settled
No
kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 3.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,678
N/A
N/A
$39,127
Settled
No
kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 9.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34,025
N/A
N/A
$31,763
Settled
No
kalshi

Ole Miss wins by over 3.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,490
N/A
N/A
$6,073
Settled
No
kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 12.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,176
N/A
N/A
$11,246
Settled
No
kalshi

Ole Miss wins by over 6.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,299
N/A
N/A
$4,734
Settled
No
kalshi

Ole Miss wins by over 9.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,449
N/A
N/A
$4,902
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,742
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 15.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,628
N/A
N/A
$2,116
Settled
No
kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 21.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,250
N/A
N/A
$1,250
Settled
No
kalshi

Vanderbilt wins by over 18.5 Points

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$620
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Description

This event group covers the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball game between Ole Miss Rebels and Vanderbilt Commodores scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents eleven overlapping spread threshold markets without clear market-to-threshold mapping or cancellation protocol, while Polymarket offers three distinct, clearly-defined markets with explicit cancellation handling. The core game outcome (moneyline, spread at -6.5, and over/under totals) is consistent, but market structure and edge-case coverage diverge.Hero tip: Use Polymarket as your primary reference for moneyline and spread resolution. For Kalshi, identify which threshold each market represents before trading. Both platforms agree on final score determination including overtime. Polymarket's 50-50 cancellation rule is more trader-friendly than Kalshi's silence on this scenario.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Moneyline winner (resolves to team name or 50-50 if canceled); (2) Spread -6.5 (Vanderbilt Yes if win by 7+, else No); (3) Over/Under at 154.5, 153.5, 155.5 (Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold + 1, else Under). Explicit 50-50 cancellation clause for all markets. Source: NCAA.com.
  • Kalshi: Eleven markets, each with a single spread threshold (Vanderbilt: 1.5, 3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5, 18.5, 21.5; Ole Miss: 3.5, 6.5, 9.5 points). Each resolves Yes if condition met, No otherwise. No explicit cancellation or postponement protocol stated. Market-to-threshold mapping not provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.