TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores
Volume:
$393,003
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NCAA Division I Men's Basketball game between Ole Miss Rebels and Vanderbilt Commodores scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread, and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents eleven overlapping spread threshold markets without clear market-to-threshold mapping or cancellation protocol, while Polymarket offers three distinct, clearly-defined markets with explicit cancellation handling. The core game outcome (moneyline, spread at -6.5, and over/under totals) is consistent, but market structure and edge-case coverage diverge.Hero Tip:
Use Polymarket as your primary reference for moneyline and spread resolution. For Kalshi, identify which threshold each market represents before trading. Both platforms agree on final score determination including overtime. Polymarket's 50-50 cancellation rule is more trader-friendly than Kalshi's silence on this scenario.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three distinct markets: (1) Moneyline winner (resolves to team name or 50-50 if canceled); (2) Spread -6.5 (Vanderbilt Yes if win by 7+, else No); (3) Over/Under at 154.5, 153.5, 155.5 (Over if combined score meets or exceeds threshold + 1, else Under). Explicit 50-50 cancellation clause for all markets. Source: NCAA.com.
- Kalshi: Eleven markets, each with a single spread threshold (Vanderbilt: 1.5, 3.5, 6.5, 9.5, 12.5, 15.5, 18.5, 21.5; Ole Miss: 3.5, 6.5, 9.5 points). Each resolves Yes if condition met, No otherwise. No explicit cancellation or postponement protocol stated. Market-to-threshold mapping not provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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