TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Volume:
$632,143
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Oklahoma State Cowboys and Colorado Buffaloes scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and over/under totals at 162.5 and 163.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Colorado win and Oklahoma State win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unresolvable as a predictive instrument. Polymarket uses standard categorical/directional resolution (team names and spread/total outcomes). These are fundamentally incompatible market structures.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi and Polymarket positions as equivalent hedges. The Kalshi market requires immediate clarification—contact Kalshi support to confirm whether this is a data error, a confirmation market, or a cancellation-only market. Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals are all standard and resolvable.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Colorado win and Oklahoma State win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility: the market cannot distinguish between the two mutually exclusive outcomes. Quote: 'If Colorado wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to team name (Oklahoma State Cowboys or Colorado Buffaloes). Spreads (-3.5, -4.5) resolve to team name if spread condition is met, otherwise opponent. Totals (162.5, 163.5) resolve to Over or Under based on combined score. Quote: 'If the Oklahoma State Cowboys win, the market will resolve to Oklahoma State Cowboys. If the Colorado Buffaloes win, the market will resolve to Colorado Buffaloes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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