TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears
Volume:
$2,498,536
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between Oklahoma Sooners and Baylor Bears on April 4 at 1:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either team winning), making it logically incoherent and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures winner-take-all and spread/total markets with mutually exclusive outcomes. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. Its resolution rules state 'If Baylor wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Oklahoma wins... resolves to Yes', meaning the market resolves YES regardless of the game outcome. This is a critical error. All other markets (Polymarket spreads, totals, and moneyline) are resolvable and should be used instead.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction in the moneyline market. Both resolution conditions ('If Baylor wins' and 'If Oklahoma wins') resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish outcomes. Quote: 'If Baylor wins the Oklahoma at Baylor men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma wins the Oklahoma at Baylor men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard market structure: Provides coherent, mutually exclusive resolution outcomes across all markets. The moneyline resolves to 'Oklahoma Sooners' if Oklahoma wins or 'Baylor Bears' if Baylor wins. Spreads and totals use clear thresholds with well-defined Yes/No outcomes. Quote: 'If the Oklahoma Sooners win, the market will resolve to Oklahoma Sooners. If the Baylor Bears win, the market will resolve to Baylor Bears.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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