TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oilers vs. Utah
Volume:
$2,681,423
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 7 at 9:30 PM ET, the Edmonton Oilers face the Utah Hockey Club in a regular-season NHL matchup. Markets will resolve based on the final score including overtime and shootouts (with one goal added to the winning team's total in shootout scenarios). The event group includes moneyline (winner) and four total goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use fundamentally different resolution scopes. Kalshi resolves on goal-differential thresholds (spread-based outcomes), while Polymarket resolves on moneyline winner and total goals scored (over/under markets). The platforms will produce different YES/NO outcomes for identical game results.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi's spread markets, you are betting on whether the margin of victory exceeds 1.5 or 2.5 goals—not simply who wins. On Polymarket, the moneyline resolves to the winner only, and separate over/under markets control total-goals exposure. Do not assume a Kalshi YES translates to a Polymarket YES for the same game outcome.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi resolves all four markets on goal-differential thresholds only. Market 1 resolves YES if Utah wins by >2.5 goals; Market 2 resolves YES if Utah wins by >1.5 goals; Market 3 resolves YES if Edmonton wins by >1.5 goals; Market 4 resolves YES if Edmonton wins by >2.5 goals. No moneyline or total-goals markets are offered. Key quote: 'If Utah wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers a moneyline market (Oilers vs. Utah) that resolves to the winner regardless of margin, plus four separate over/under total-goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) that are independent of the winner. Key quote: 'If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to Oilers. If the Utah win, the market will resolve to Utah' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Oilers and Utah combine to score 5 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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