TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oilers vs. Sharks
Volume:
$1,758,289
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 8, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, the Edmonton Oilers will face the San Jose Sharks in an NHL regular season game. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing outcomes including the moneyline winner, total goals scored, and margin of victory. All resolution criteria reference the final official NHL score including overtime and shootout outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on margin-of-victory thresholds (1.5+ and 2.5+ goal wins for either team), while Polymarket settles on total goals scored (Over/Under 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) and moneyline (Oilers vs. Sharks winner). These represent fundamentally different resolution sources and outcome scopes.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, you are betting on whether either team wins by a large margin (1.5+ or 2.5+ goals). If you bet on Polymarket, you are betting on total combined goals, the winner, or a spread. A 3-1 Oilers win resolves YES on Kalshi (Oilers win by 2+) but may resolve differently on Polymarket depending on which market you chose (e.g., Over 4.5 = YES, but Sharks moneyline = NO). Do not assume cross-platform consistency.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi resolves on margin-of-victory logic only. Markets resolve YES if either team wins by over 1.5 goals OR over 2.5 goals. No moneyline, no total goals markets. Key quote: 'If San Jose wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket resolves on three independent dimensions: moneyline (Oilers vs. Sharks winner), total goals (Over/Under 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5), and spread (Oilers -1.5). Each market has its own resolution criteria. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Over if the Oilers and Sharks combine to score 7 or more goals' (O/U 6.5) and 'If the Oilers win, the market will resolve to Oilers' (moneyline).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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