TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oilers vs. Kings
Volume:
$866,207
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Edmonton Oilers and Los Angeles Kings scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (margin of victory), and over/under totals (combined goals scored).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi defines margin thresholds at 1.5+ and 2.5+ goals for spread markets, while Polymarket uses a 2+ goal threshold for its -1.5 spread markets. A 1-goal victory would trigger YES on Kalshi's 1.5+ markets but resolve to the trailing team on Polymarket's 2+ markets.Hero Tip:
Focus arbitrage attention on outcomes where the margin is exactly 1 or 2 goals. Kalshi's 1.5+ and 2.5+ markets will diverge from Polymarket's 2+ threshold in these scenarios. Always verify the final score includes shootout goal adjustments (both platforms add 1 goal to the shootout winner's score) before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four separate markets covering 1.5+ and 2.5+ goal margins for either team. Resolves YES if the specified team wins by the stated margin or greater. Key Quote: If Edmonton wins by over 1.5 goals in the Edmonton at Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Polymarket: Spread markets (-1.5 for each team) resolve based on 2+ goal margin only. Moneyline resolves to winner. Over/Under markets at 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5 combined goals. Key Quote: This market will resolve to Oilers if the Oilers win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Kings.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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