TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Oilers vs. Blues
Volume:
$2,571,630
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NHL game between the Edmonton Oilers and St. Louis Blues scheduled for March 13, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (margin of victory), and total goals (over/under), with resolution based on final score including overtime and shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's margin-of-victory markets use redundant YES/NO logic with overlapping thresholds (1.5 and 2.5 goals), while Polymarket's spread market uses a single 2-goal threshold with binary Oilers/Blues outcomes. Both resolve based on final score including overtime and shootouts, but the market structures and settlement paths differ.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's four margin markets are logically redundant and harder to trade precisely. Polymarket's spread (Oilers -1.5) is the clearer way to bet margin of victory. All platforms agree on total goals thresholds and shootout rules (one goal added to winner). For moneyline, both platforms simply resolve to the winner regardless of margin.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Four separate YES/NO markets on margin thresholds: YES if St. Louis wins by >2.5, YES if Edmonton wins by >2.5, YES if Edmonton wins by >1.5, YES if St. Louis wins by >1.5. Key Quote: 'If St. Louis wins by over 2.5 goals in the Edmonton at St. Louis professional hockey game originally scheduled for Mar 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Spread market (Oilers -1.5) resolves to Oilers if Oilers win by 2+ goals, otherwise Blues. Moneyline resolves to Oilers or Blues based on winner only. Totals (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5) resolve based on combined goals. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to Oilers if the Oilers win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to Blues.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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