TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
OGC Nice vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901
Volume:
$579,762
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 professional soccer match between OGC Nice and Stade Rennais FC 1901 scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the final outcome (Nice win, Rennais win, or draw) based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Nice win, Rennais win, draw) are specified to resolve to Yes, which is impossible. Additionally, Kalshi provides no cancellation guidance while Polymarket explicitly differentiates cancellation outcomes by market type.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi markets in this group due to logical incoherence. Use Polymarket markets instead, which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution logic and explicit cancellation rules. If you hold Kalshi positions, prepare for potential manual settlement or platform clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Market structure specifies three separate markets, each resolving to Yes: (1) Stade Rennais wins = Yes, (2) Nice wins = Yes, (3) Tie = Yes. This creates a logical impossibility since only one outcome can occur. No cancellation clause provided. Quote: 'If Stade Rennais wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Nice wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with mutually exclusive outcomes: Draw market (Yes if draw, No otherwise), Nice win market (Yes if Nice wins, No otherwise), Rennais win market (Yes if Rennais wins, No otherwise). Explicit cancellation logic: draw market resolves Yes if canceled; win markets resolve No if canceled. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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