TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
OGC Nice vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC
Volume:
$2,939,928
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for Saturday, March 21, 2026 between OGC Nice and Paris Saint-Germain FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Nice win, Draw, PSG win) where exactly one resolves YES, while Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES regardless of outcome, creating a logical contradiction that makes Kalshi's markets fundamentally unresolvable as stated.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group — they contain a critical logical error. All three Kalshi markets resolve to YES for any match outcome, making them indistinguishable and unhedgeable. Polymarket's three binary markets are logically sound: exactly one will resolve YES based on the final result. Trade only Polymarket if you want coherent, resolvable markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (logically sound): Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on match outcome. Nice win market resolves YES if Nice wins, NO otherwise. Draw market resolves YES if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. PSG win market resolves YES if PSG wins, NO otherwise. All three use identical primary source (official Ligue 1 statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours) and identical scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Key quote: 'If OGC Nice wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
- Kalshi: Outlier (logically broken): Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve YES regardless of match outcome. Market 1 resolves YES if Tie wins. Market 2 resolves YES if PSG wins. Market 3 resolves YES if Nice wins. Since exactly one of these three outcomes must occur, all three markets will always resolve YES simultaneously, making them logically contradictory and unresolvable as distinct prediction instruments. Key quote: 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If PSG wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Nice wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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