TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC - Halftime Result
Volume:
$874
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers halftime results for the OGC Nice vs. Le Havre AC Ligue 1 match scheduled for April 12, 2026. Polymarket offers three binary markets (Nice leading, Draw, Le Havre leading at halftime), while Kalshi presents a single market that resolves Yes if any of the three outcomes occurs. Both platforms measure the same halftime period: first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket presents three mutually exclusive binary markets for halftime outcomes; Kalshi presents a single market that resolves Yes for all three possible halftime results, making it a tautological completion oracle rather than an outcome predictor.Hero Tip:
Polymarket's three markets are true prediction markets with genuine uncertainty. Kalshi's market is a match-completion confirmation that will always resolve Yes if the match occurs. These are not directly comparable. Use Polymarket for halftime outcome exposure; use Kalshi only to verify the match was played.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets, each covering one halftime outcome (Nice Win, Draw, Le Havre Win). Exactly one resolves Yes; the other two resolve No. Resolution source is official governing body statistics within 24 hours, or credible reporting consensus thereafter. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves No.
- Kalshi: Single market with three Yes-resolution conditions: Le Havre win, Tie, or Nice win at halftime. All possible outcomes trigger Yes. This is a tautological market that resolves Yes if the match occurs and completes the first half, regardless of score.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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