This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Oakland Golden Grizzlies and IU Indy Jaguars scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), point spread (-5.5, -6.5), and over/under totals (167.5, 169.5, 170.5 points).
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Oakland win and IU Indy win) are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating settlement ambiguity.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market due to the logical error. Polymarket moneyline, all spread markets, and all total markets are internally consistent and can be safely traded. Verify final game score from NCAA.com before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market contains logical contradiction. Both Oakland win and IU Indy win conditions resolve to Yes, making it impossible to determine which outcome occurred. Quote: If Oakland wins resolves to Yes; If IU Indy wins resolves to Yes.
Polymarket: Moneyline market uses winner-name resolution. Oakland win resolves to Oakland Golden Grizzlies; IU Indy win resolves to IU Indy Jaguars. Spread and total markets use binary outcomes (Oakland/IU Indy or Over/Under). All logic is consistent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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