TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$198,735,462
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,413,651
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,238,334,809
499,092
Markets across
13,695
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,769
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nuggets vs. Warriors
Volume:
$21,485,431
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers an NBA game between the Denver Nuggets and Golden State Warriors scheduled for February 22, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half variants across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains contradictory resolution logic where both possible game outcomes (Denver win and Golden State win) are instructed to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible resolution state. Polymarket markets are logically sound.Hero Tip:
Avoid the Kalshi moneyline entirely due to unresolvable logic. All Polymarket markets (moneyline, spreads, totals, player props, first-half variants) follow standard NBA resolution conventions and are safe to trade. Use official NBA box scores from NBA.com as the authoritative source for all stat-based markets.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary moneyline with mutually exclusive outcomes: Nuggets win resolves to Nuggets, Warriors win resolves to Warriors. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. All 94 markets follow consistent, coherent logic tied to final game score, halftime score, or official NBA box score stats.
- Kalshi: Moneyline market states: 'If Denver wins...then Yes' AND 'If Golden State wins...then Yes.' Both outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish between the two teams. This violates basic binary logic and renders the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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