TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nuggets vs. Spurs
Volume:
$16,273,850
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 12 at 8:30PM ET: If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (San Antonio wins OR Denver wins), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Nuggets win, Spurs win, or cancellation scenarios), aligning with standard prediction market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a fatal logical error where both teams winning triggers a YES resolution, which is impossible. All Polymarket markets are resolvable and should be your primary reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market states 'If San Antonio wins the Denver at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Denver wins the Denver at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it unresolvable.
- Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Polymarket structures mutually exclusive outcomes across multiple market types. The moneyline resolves to 'Nuggets' if Denver wins or 'Spurs' if San Antonio wins, with a 50-50 cancellation clause. Spread markets, totals markets, and first-half markets all follow consistent, resolvable logic with clear thresholds and tie-breaking rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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