This event group covers the NBA game between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers scheduled for March 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline, spreads, totals, player props (points, rebounds, assists), and first-half outcomes across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All markets across both platforms consistently reference the official NBA box score as the authoritative resolution source, apply identical postponement and cancellation protocols, and use the same threshold logic for spreads, totals, and player props.
Spread (Nuggets -X.5): Nuggets resolve Yes if they win by X+1 or more points; otherwise Lakers resolve Yes. Ties resolve to Lakers.
Totals (O/U threshold): Over resolves if combined score is threshold+1 or higher; Under resolves if combined score is threshold or lower
Player Props (Points/Rebounds/Assists O/U threshold): Yes resolves if player stat exceeds threshold; No resolves if stat is at or below threshold
First-Half Markets: Resolved on halftime score only, not final game score
Player Inactivity: If a player is listed inactive or does not take the court, player prop markets resolve No
All statistics include overtime periods for full-game markets
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Game Postponement: Markets remain open until the game is completed. No early resolution.
Game Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 if the game is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled.
Spread Tie: If the game ends in a tie (rare in NBA), spread markets resolve to the non-Nuggets side (Lakers).
Player Inactivity: If a player is listed as inactive or does not take the court at any point, all player prop markets for that player resolve No.
First-Half Tie: If the first half ends in a tie, first-half moneyline resolves 50-50; first-half spread resolves to Lakers if Nuggets are favored.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following game completion. First-half markets resolve at halftime. Full-game markets resolve after final buzzer including any overtime.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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