TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Burnley FC
Volume:
$1,339,359
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 between Nottingham Forest FC and Burnley FC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Nottingham win, Burnley win, or tie), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi entirely for this event group. The three Kalshi conditions are not mutually exclusive — they all resolve to YES regardless of match result, creating a guaranteed payout that violates basic prediction market logic. Trade only on Polymarket where the three outcomes (Nottingham win, Burnley win, draw) are properly exclusive.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three conditions resolve to YES: 'If Nottingham wins...then YES', 'If Burnley wins...then YES', 'If Tie wins...then YES'. This means the market will always resolve YES regardless of the actual match outcome, violating the fundamental principle that exactly one outcome should occur in a three-way match.
- Polymarket: Three properly exclusive markets: Nottingham win resolves YES/NO, Burnley win resolves YES/NO, draw resolves YES/NO. Exactly one will resolve YES and the other two NO. Both use Premier League official statistics as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no makeup resolves NO (or YES for draw market only).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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