TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)
Volume:
$167,728
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Wake Forest Demon Deacons scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi are betting on the outcome of this single game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, stating that both Notre Dame victory and Wake Forest victory resolve to Yes, which violates basic binary market logic and makes the market fundamentally unresolvable.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform issues a clarification or correction. The Polymarket version is logically sound: Notre Dame win resolves to Notre Dame, Wake Forest win resolves to Wake Forest, with a 50-50 split only if the game is canceled without a makeup. Use Polymarket as the reliable reference.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Notre Dame victory resolves to Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Wake Forest victory resolves to Wake Forest Demon Deacons. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution criteria stating both Notre Dame victory and Wake Forest victory resolve to Yes, creating a logical impossibility where no outcome can be distinguished. This violates fundamental binary market design.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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