Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Vanderbilt Commodores (W)
Volume:
$5,463,053
Markets
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Vanderbilt Commodores scheduled for March 27, 2026, at Vanderbilt's venue. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game—specifically, whether Notre Dame or Vanderbilt wins the contest.
Kalshi resolves YES for both Notre Dame and Vanderbilt wins (logically impossible), while Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish' or 'Vanderbilt Commodores' as mutually exclusive outcomes. Kalshi's market contains a data integrity failure that makes it fundamentally unresolvable.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. Kalshi's resolution rules state the market resolves YES if Notre Dame wins AND YES if Vanderbilt wins — meaning both outcomes trigger YES, which violates basic logic for a binary sports match. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable version: it correctly assigns 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish' to a Notre Dame win and 'Vanderbilt Commodores' to a Vanderbilt win. Trade only on Polymarket.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. The market states 'If Notre Dame wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Vanderbilt wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both mutually exclusive outcomes resolve to the same result. This violates the fundamental structure of a binary sports match and makes the market unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Notre Dame wins the Notre Dame at Vanderbilt women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt wins the Notre Dame at Vanderbilt women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket: Aligned with sound resolution logic: Correctly resolves to 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish' if Notre Dame wins and 'Vanderbilt Commodores' if Vanderbilt wins, with clear mutually exclusive outcomes. Includes proper edge case handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Notre Dame Fighting Irish win, the market will resolve to Notre Dame Fighting Irish. If the Vanderbilt Commodores win, the market will resolve to Vanderbilt Commodores.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.