TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Louisville Cardinals (W)
Volume:
$324,177
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Notre Dame Fighting Irish and Louisville Cardinals scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking which team wins this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory, mapping both possible game outcomes (Louisville win and Notre Dame win) to the identical resolution value (Yes), rendering the market logically unresolvable and unable to differentiate between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi until the platform corrects the resolution criteria. Polymarket's binary structure (Notre Dame vs Louisville) is logically sound and resolvable. Monitor for Kalshi amendments before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to 'Notre Dame Fighting Irish' if Notre Dame wins, 'Louisville Cardinals' if Louisville wins. Handles postponement by keeping market open; handles cancellation with no makeup by splitting 50-50. Source: NCAA.com. Logic is internally consistent and resolvable.
- Kalshi: Contradictory resolution criteria. States both 'If Louisville wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Notre Dame wins... resolves to Yes.' Both possible outcomes map to the same resolution value, making it impossible to determine a winner. Logic is internally inconsistent and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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