TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Norway vs. Switzerland
kalshi
polymarket

Norway vs. Switzerland

Volume:
$952,382

Draw (Norway vs. Switzerland)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 31, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Norway vs. Switzerland)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$98,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$85,212
N/A
N/A
$66,901
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Norway

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$288,924
N/A
N/A
$218,332
Settled
No
polymarket

Norway

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189,573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Switzerland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$187,421
N/A
N/A
$133,380
Settled
No
polymarket

Switzerland

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$102,701
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between Norway and Switzerland.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcome markets (Norway win, Tie, Switzerland win) are specified to resolve YES, making it impossible for exactly one outcome to occur. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where each outcome market resolves independently based on the match result, creating a fundamental incompatibility in settlement methodology.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's markets in this group — they contain a logical error that makes settlement impossible. Polymarket's three markets (Norway win, Switzerland win, draw) are standard and resolvable. If you hold Kalshi positions, escalate to the platform for clarification before the March 31, 2026 match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi specifies that all three outcome markets resolve to YES regardless of the actual match result. The rules state 'If Norway wins... then the market resolves to Yes', 'If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes', and 'If Switzerland wins... then the market resolves to Yes', creating a logical impossibility where every outcome is marked YES simultaneously. This contradicts basic settlement principles.
  • Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses standard binary resolution logic with three separate markets. The draw market resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, otherwise NO. The Norway win market resolves YES only if Norway wins, otherwise NO. The Switzerland win market resolves YES only if Switzerland wins, otherwise NO. Exactly one of these three will resolve YES based on the actual match outcome. Resolution source is FIFA official statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.