TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Norway vs. France
Total volume:
$3,932
Volume 24h:
$362
1,602%
Liquidity:
$14,631
48%
Open interest:
$1,900
0%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, June 26, 2026 between Norway and France.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Draw market resolution differs on match cancellation scenarios. Polymarket and Predict explicitly resolve Draw to YES if the match is canceled with no make-up game, while Limitless uses a deadline-based logic and Kalshi lacks explicit cancellation guidance.Hero Tip:
Monitor match cancellation risk carefully. If Norway vs France is canceled with no rescheduling, expect Polymarket and Predict Draw markets to resolve YES, Limitless Draw to resolve YES (by July 26 deadline), but Kalshi's resolution remains unclear. For win markets (Norway/France), all platforms consistently resolve NO on cancellation.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Draw resolves YES if the game ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, OR if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Otherwise resolves NO. Primary source: official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Predict: Draw resolves YES if the game ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, OR if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Otherwise resolves NO. Primary source: official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion.
- Limitless: Draw resolves YES if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, OR if the match is not completed with an official result by July 26, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise resolves NO.
- Kalshi: Draw (Tie) resolves YES if the match ends in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; behavior on match cancellation is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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