TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Norway Chess Women 2026: Winner
Total volume:
$11,113
Volume 24h:
$645
84%
Liquidity:
$3,314
46%
Open interest:
$9,400
5%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers prediction markets on the winner of the Norway Chess Women 2026 tournament, scheduled for May 25–June 5, 2026. Markets are offered across Kalshi and Polymarket, with both platforms listing specific named players and Polymarket also including generic placeholder players and a catch-all 'someone else' option.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket use incompatible market structures: Kalshi offers independent binary markets per player, while Polymarket uses a single categorical winner-selection market. Polymarket explicitly defines a cancellation/postponement fallback to 'Other'; Kalshi does not.Hero Tip:
Understand your platform's contingency logic before trading. On Kalshi, confirm whether all player markets auto-resolve to No if the tournament is cancelled or if one player wins. On Polymarket, the 'Other' outcome is explicitly available if the tournament is incomplete by June 19, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Cross-platform arbitrage is risky due to these structural differences.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Six independent binary Yes/No markets, one per named player (Anna Muzychuk, Zhu Jiner, Ju Wenjun, Divya Deshmukh, Humpy Koneru, Bibisara Assaubayeva). Each resolves Yes if that player wins the tournament scheduled May 25–June 5, 2026. No explicit cancellation or 'Other' outcome defined. Key quote: 'If [Player] wins the 2026 Norway Chess Women tournament originally scheduled from May 25, 2026 to June 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Single categorical market with 15 possible outcomes: 6 named players, 8 generic placeholders (Player A–J), and 'someone else'. Resolves to the actual tournament winner. If tournament is cancelled, postponed, or incomplete after June 19, 2026 11:59 PM ET, resolves to 'Other'. Primary source is official event organizer or credible reporting consensus. Key quote: 'If the Norway Chess Women 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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